Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 159.349469 182.593343 208.581617 239.889360 276.710771 318.795849 370.758970
2025-11-09 127.948127 158.182251 195.077990 243.798382 307.006907 387.010573 497.165987
2025-11-16 108.356065 141.147637 183.673775 243.607509 327.091573 441.048176 611.486219
2025-11-23 94.609277 128.430560 174.466019 242.849398 343.823376 490.621125 726.199486
2025-11-30 85.107860 119.675925 168.725904 245.002049 363.578221 545.975290 858.082588
2025-12-07 74.676406 108.067112 157.089261 236.270793 364.788624 572.178307 947.233094
2025-12-14 67.579105 100.419223 150.179079 233.454840 374.236590 612.051677 1065.797396
2025-12-21 62.932864 95.903602 147.393924 236.570116 393.436261 670.650661 1228.668326
2025-12-28 60.371150 94.317702 148.943591 246.848437 426.115874 757.847195 1463.661507
2026-01-04 57.234826 91.429725 147.955306 252.458504 450.952320 834.224813 1693.151046
2026-01-11 53.177177 86.588197 143.114821 250.478066 461.063298 883.284489 1874.552600
2026-01-18 51.045250 84.806010 143.341368 257.756147 490.036791 975.122062 2173.519334
2026-01-25 48.025273 81.531626 141.181573 261.467562 515.063117 1069.101304 2518.432542
2026-02-01 45.292286 78.548625 139.323826 265.754514 542.639470 1176.006343 2933.787720
2026-02-08 42.307593 74.783035 135.541076 265.542658 560.293214 1263.683203 3326.718328
2026-02-15 39.581462 71.221564 131.735892 264.705675 576.314035 1350.856262 3748.434557
2026-02-22 37.479998 68.644749 129.574844 267.082252 600.285047 1463.727118 4290.110651
2026-03-01 34.393185 63.855995 122.445508 257.444664 593.248996 1492.536805 4570.828474
2026-03-08 32.228415 60.715128 118.404498 254.337509 602.207516 1567.938326 5041.302824
2026-03-15 30.840130 59.021705 117.230588 257.774972 628.841319 1700.865501 5776.685293
2026-03-22 30.206599 58.822598 119.234902 269.120953 678.966405 1917.836062 6939.171271
2026-03-29 29.194924 57.733122 119.161425 275.316717 715.995263 2104.051727 8072.574849
2026-04-05 27.644553 55.356624 115.960540 273.129285 728.410553 2212.644656 8922.244058